Thursday, August 27, 2015

Preparing for Foreign Exchange Futures



We are going to look at futures trading currencies. We will follow 
information from Investopedia, an Internet site devoted to investing 
education based in Edmonton in Alberta, Canada.

The spot foreign exchange (forex or FX) market is the world's largest 
market, with over US$1 trillion traded per day. One derivative of this 
market is the forex futures market, which is only one one-hundredth the 
size. This article examines the key differences between forex futures and 
traditional futures and looks at some strategies for  speculating and 
hedging with this useful derivative.


Forex Futures Vs. Traditional Futures 

Both forex and traditional futures operate in the same basic manner: 
a contract is purchased to buy or sell a specific amount of an asset 
at a particular price on a predetermined date. There is, however, one 
key difference between the two: forex futures are not traded on a centralized 
exchange; rather, the deal flow is available through several different 
exchanges in the United States and abroad. The vast majority of forex futures 
are traded through the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and its 
partners (introducing brokers).

However, this is not to say that forex futures contracts are 
over-the-counter per se; the futures are still bound to a designated 
'size per contract' and are offered only in whole numbers (unlike forward contracts). 
It is important to remember that all currency futures quotes are made against the 
U.S. dollar, unlike the spot forex market.

SEE: Futures Fundamentals
Here is an example of what a forex futures quote looks like:
Euro FX Futures on the CME For any given futures contract, your broker should provide you with its specifications, 
such as the contract sizes, time increments, trading hours, pricing limits and other 
relevant information. Here is an example of what a specification sheet might look like:

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Figure 2: Specification Sheet from CME.

Hedging Vs. Speculating 

Hedging and speculating are the two primary ways in which forex derivatives are 
used. Hedgers use forex futures to reduce or eliminate risk by insulating themselves 
against any future price movements. Speculators, on the other hand, want to incur 
risk in order to make a profit. Now, let's take a more in-depth look at these two 
strategies.

Hedging 

There are many reasons to use a hedging strategy in the forex futures market. One 
main purpose is to neutralize the effect of currency fluctuations on sales revenue. 
For example, if a business operating overseas wanted to know exactly how much 
revenue it will obtain (in U.S. dollars) from its European stores, it could purchase a 
futures contract in the amount of its projected net sales to eliminate currency 
fluctuations.

SEE: Spotting A Forex Scam

When hedging, traders must often choose between futures and another derivative 
known as a forward. There are several differences between these two instruments, 
the most notable of which are these: 

• Forwards allow the trader more flexibility in choosing contract sizes and setting dates. 
This allows you to tailor the contracts to your needs instead of using a set contract 
size (futures).
• The cash that's backing a forward is not due until the expiration of the contract, 
whereas the cash behind futures is calculated daily, and the buyer and seller are 
held liable for daily cash settlements. By using futures, you have the ability to 
re-evaluate your position as often as you like. With forwards, you must wait until the 
contract expires.


Speculating 

Speculating is by nature profit-driven. In the forex market, futures and spot forex 
are not all that different. So why exactly would you want to participate in the futures 
market instead of the spot market? Well, there are several arguments for and 
against trading in the futures market:

Advantages 

• Lower spreads (two to three).
• Lower transaction costs (as low as $5 per contract).
• More leverage (often $500+ per contract).

Disadvantages 

• Often requires a higher amount of capital ($100,000 lots).
• Limited to the exchange's session times.
• National Futures Association fees may apply.

The strategies employed for speculating are similar to those used in spot markets. 
The most widely used strategies are based on common forms of technical chart 
analysis since these markets tend to trend well. These include Fibonacci studies, 
Gannstudies, pivot points and other similar techniques. Alternately, some speculators 
use more advanced strategies, such as arbitrage.

The Bottom Line

As we can see, forex futures operate similarly to traditional stock and commodity 
futures. There are many advantages to using forex futures for hedging as well as 
speculating. The distinguishing feature is that the futures are not traded on a 
centralized exchange. Forex futures can be used to hedge against currency 
fluctuations, but some traders use these instruments in pursuit of profit, just as 
they would use futures on the spot market.



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